A home battery pays for itself only when the price spread it arbitrages, multiplied by the energy it actually delivers, outruns its net cost before the cells wear out — and at typical retail spreads near $0.18/kWh it usually does not.

13.5 kWh
800 USD/kWh
Rebates and credits (% of installed cost)
30
0.22 USD/kWh
1 1/d
90 %
Simple payback (years)9.02
Net annual savings838.08
Payback margin5.98
051015200102030Cycle-limited life at the current cycling rateUseful life — payback above this line never arrives
Simple payback

Cycling harder is close to a wash once the pack is cycle-limited: doubling cycles per day halves the payback period but also halves the years of cycle life available to reach it.

Interactive artifact by Delineo